Research.LeutholdGroup

While the long term implications of a capital gains tax cut might be bullish, I would expect the intermediate term impact to be negative.

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Balanced budget agreement assumes current economic expansion will run about 12 years, longer than any other in history.

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Ned David Research examined stock market behavior after the capital gains tax reductions in October 1978 and August 1981.

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Long-Term Capital Gains Pressure: In the last month or so several have commented that the stock market will be subjected to significant selling pressure in late summer, early fall. Inflation Watch: Things are looking better. The possibility of any significant uptick in inflation in the last half of 1983 now looks very remote. However, 1984-1985 is another matter.

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