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Risk/Reward

Jan 08 2021

Bridesmaid Strategy Risk And Reward

  • Jan 8, 2021

“Risk-adjusted returns” were all the rage after the Great Financial Crisis. Now that such returns are likely to become relevant again, naturally, there’s little scrutiny of them.

Jan 08 2020

Bridesmaid Strategy Risk And Reward

  • Jan 8, 2020

We know that risk measurements have become passé, what with the S&P 500 having annualized at +13.6% in the last decade without a single drop of 20%. But the Bridesmaid strategy looks great relative to the available asset classes on a risk-adjusted basis.

Jan 08 2019

Guess-timating The Downside

  • Jan 8, 2019

While our market disciplines remain negative, we certainly aren’t oblivious to the haircut in equity valuations that’s already occurred.

Oct 07 2016

A Stock/Bond Relationship Revisited

  • Oct 7, 2016

Herein we further explore this month’s theme of “point-in-time relationships” and subsequent market returns. We review and update a study we initially conducted and published in June 2009.

Apr 07 2016

Ruminations On The Correction

  • Apr 7, 2016

If our market disciplines turn bullish in the weeks ahead, we’ll certainly follow that lead—covering remaining shorts, re-establishing a semi-aggressive market position, and wiping egg off our faces for having called a “cyclical bear market” that slammed the Russell 2000 (-26%), EAFE (-26%), and Emerging Markets (-37%)… but somehow not the one most followed, the S&P 500 (-14%).