Portfolios Applying Our Research In The Markets
The Major Trend Index currently sits at Neutral, with negative readings from the Valuation, Cyclical, and Sentiment categories offset by the Technical category that, while positive, isn’t as strong as we would expect given the rally since last October. Our tactical accounts are positioned accordingly with net equity exposure at 53%, near the middle of our typical 30-70% range.
Major Trend Index Negative: Net Equity Exposure 38%
The Major Trend Index remains in Negative territory, with the sole improvement, of late, coming from the Sentiment segment—which is no surprise given recent price action. Other categories continue to paint a bearish picture, with deteriorating monetary conditions, poor market action, and valuations not yet reflecting historical lows.
AdvantHedge was up 3.1% in May, ahead of the inverse S&P 500 (-0.2%), and the inverse Russell 2000 (-0.2%). Although the overall market ended the month flat, this equity hedge still succeeded in identifying pockets of weakness.