Major Trend Index
MTI: Broad Breadth Not As Healthy As A/D Suggests
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MTI: Despite Market Bounce, Momentum Category Declined
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MTI Holds Steady As Markets Gyrate
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MTI: Consensus Giddiness Centers On Liquidity
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MTI: Deterioration In Valuation Work Took A Pause
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MTI: Short-Term Sentiment Work Is Frothy
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MTI: Momentum Is Keeping Ratio Out Of Bearish Zone
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MTI Improves, But Can’t Break Into Positive Ground
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MTI: Attitudinal Suffers Unusually Large Drop
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MTI: Valuation And Attitudinal Offset Momentum
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Momentum Up Strong; Economic Factors Weaken
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MTI: NYSE Breadth Is Healthy
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MTI Holding Within Neutral Zone
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MTI: Traders Have Warmed Up To The Rally
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MTI: Attitudinal Down Near Its 2019 Extreme
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MTI: Improving Liquidity Offsetting Earnings Weakness
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Breadth Improves Among NYSE-Traded Issues
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MTI Upgraded To Neutral
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Broad Technical Improvement; Ratio Boosted To Neutral
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Sentiment & Valuation Work Deteriorate With The Advance
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MTI: Momentum Factors Continue To Gain Strength
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Momentum Reverses Losses Of Prior Week
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Negligible S&P 500 Loss Disguises Shaky Internal Action
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MTI Stable, But Still Negative
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MTI: Momentum And Economic Work Offset Negatives
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MTI: Internal Market Rotation Not Evidence Of Broadening Strength
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MTI: Broad Rally Lifted Momentum Inputs
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MTI: Cyclical Market Risks Remain High
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MTI Stable, But Still Negative
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MTI: Despite NYSE Daily A/D High, Breadth Is Ailing
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MTI: Same Old Song
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MTI: Attitudinal Improved But Still Net Negative
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MTI: Momentum Smacked Again
The hits to the Momentum category were broad-based; the Advance/Decline work continues to disguise a very dangerous, underlying bifurcation of the market.
MTI Stable, But Still Negative
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MTI: Momentum Takes A Hit
The Momentum category lost ground in the latest calculation, with more than three-quarters of the loss reflecting a flip in one of our “long-term” momentum sub-models from 50% bullish in the prior week, to maximum bearish at Friday’s close.
MTI: Economic Factors Lifted By Monetary Measures
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Growth in M1 and M2 money supply has picked up, offsetting the bearish readings for Adjusted Reserves and the Fed balance sheet. Momentum category also strengthened.
MTI: Momentum Improved Despite Modest Market Losses
The Momentum category improved despite last week’s modest market losses, with some of the longer-term trend work improving. Daily and weekly 52-week lows for the NASDAQ remain elevated, reflecting the increasing concentration of strength in Technology stocks.
MTI: Upside Surprises/Depressed Expectations
We think that the economic surprises, as well as the yield uptick, reflect an unwind of extremely one-sided positioning rather than an indication of a second-half economic rebound.
MTI: Attitudinal Measures Erode On Investor Enthusiasm
The Momentum category continues to grind higher, but this push has predictably stirred up investor enthusiasm (as measured this week by an identical decline in our Attitudinal composite). At the same time, longer-term measures like CEO Confidence, Small Business Optimism, and Consumer Confidence have all weakened in the latest reports, suggesting a rollover in animal spirits could be underway.
MTI Still Negative; Stay Defensive
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