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Reward/Risk

Apr 05 2019

The P/E Decline Has Been Greatly Exaggerated

  • Apr 5, 2019

The S&P 500 has bounced back to levels seen at the January 2018 spike high, yet is valued more cheaply than it was 14 months ago.

Nov 16 2018

Correction Creating Values?

  • Nov 16, 2018

While the consensus view remains that October’s stock market rout was “healthy” and “overdue,” we think it was  more likely the first leg down of much larger decline. But it’s still worth reviewing the improvement in valuations that market losses and this year’s excellent fundamentals have combined to produce.  

 

Mar 07 2017

Estimating The Upside: Another Angle

  • Mar 7, 2017

A look at the potential upside for the median S&P 500 stock, based on the theory that each of four valuation ratios reaches its individual all-time high set during the last phase of the 1990s’ market mania.