Time Cycles
2024 Time Cycles—Watch Politics & Geopolitics
Given how many potential political and geopolitical hotspots there are at present, it might be a bit presumptuous to think 2024 will be a typical year. Politics and geopolitics are the most underpriced risk for 2024.
2023 Time Cycle—Mid-Year Update
So far, it’s all about sector exposure in 2023.
2022 Surprises & 2023 Time Cycles
We updated our time-cycle composite for 2023. Overall, while the patterns suggest a year of smooth sailing for most markets, the actual paths forward could be much more volatile.
A Trade Contrarians Will Love
Time cycles have been spot on in 2022, with the stock market declining through the mid-year months (May-October) of a mid-term election year. But November 1st saw the opening of the market’s most bullish window according to the same patterns.
Time Cycles Got It Right; What Do They Say Now?
The enormity of the preceding mania and its vicious unwind have us believing the current bear could unfold over a much lengthier time than is typical. But a combo of time cycles suggests a major low is due any time.
Time Cycles Say There’ll Be Better Times Than 2022
Numerologists will be disappointed to learn that longer-term time cycles don’t line up for a prosperous 2022 for stocks. However, the historical “hit rates” aren’t high enough to justify running for cover if you have no other fundamental stock-market worries.