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Sep 09 2024

How The Bull Stacks Up

  • Sep 9, 2024

Bull markets that lacked a traditional recessionary “father figure” had shorter lives (33 mos. vs. 61 mos.) and produced gains just one-third the size (+63.6% vs. +186.9%). If today’s SPX bull matched the return of its four most-cyclically relevant predecessors, it would extend until May 2025, and top out at 5,852—8% above its September 6th close. (Not great.)

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About The Author

Doug Ramsey / Chief Investment Officer & Portfolio Manager