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Jobs Plentiful/Jobs Hard to Get

Jun 07 2023

Even The Labor Market Looks Recessionary

  • Jun 7, 2023

We think the stock market is skating on pre-recessionary thin ice, an endeavor that, admittedly, can be both irresistible and (temporarily) profitable.

Mar 07 2023

The Late-2022 Recession That Wasn’t

  • Mar 7, 2023

Our Treasury Secretary (and former Fed Chair) has described the JOLT survey (Job Openings and Labor Turnover) as her favorite labor market indicator. We don’t know why: It’s a good survey, but similar figures become available about two months in advance of JOLT.

Mar 03 2023

The Job Market Just Rescinded A Recession Signal

  • Mar 3, 2023

For those disappointed that February’s employment report won’t be released until March 10th, we have something to consider in the meantime.