Skip to content

S&P 500 Performance

Aug 05 2023

Has The Stock Market “Eased?”

  • Aug 5, 2023

The path of real stock prices in the current cycle looks very different from the typical pre-recessionary track. In fact, based only on the chart of performance in real terms since January 2022, we’d probably believe the economy has recently emerged from recession.

Jul 08 2023

A NASDAQ Conundrum

  • Jul 8, 2023

While we have an above-market weight in Technology stocks in our Select Industries portfolio, it’s doubtful that NASDAQ bulls have drawn much inspiration from these pages of late. But here’s a simple finding to potentially rectify that.

Jul 08 2023

Maximum Inversion?

  • Jul 8, 2023

Factoring in both the duration and depth of the existing yield-curve inversion, it is considered more severe than all predecessors since the 1960s. Even Duke University yield-curve guru, Campbell Harvey, abandoned his January forecast that a recession would be avoided.

Jun 16 2023

Market Odds For The Second Half

  • Jun 16, 2023

With the halfway point of 2023 two weeks away, the S&P 500 has broken out to a 12-month high. The index has accomplished that feat 32 times during the month of June—or exactly one-third of all cases measured back to 1928.

Jun 07 2023

Just A Typical Pre-Recessionary Rally?

  • Jun 7, 2023

Is the stock market disconnected from a souring economy? It might seem that way, and the topic dominated the discussion at the recent Market Technicians Association annual symposium.