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Oct 07 2025

Recession Dashboard Update—Low Recession Risk

  • Oct 7, 2025

The stock rally and associated wealth effect make an imminent recession less likely (data that corroborates our Up/Down Earnings figures). Yet, things can change quickly when so much is riding on the market. Employment is still the biggest threat.

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About The Author

Chun Wang / Sr. Research Analyst & Co-Portfolio Manager