Based on 1957-to-date valuation metrics, the S&P 500 potential downside to median levels is -25%. Secular bear markets, however, fall well below median levels; based on a decline to the 25th percentile of 1957-to-date distributions, the S&P 500 would have to fall 36% to 1,591 (not a prediction).
Aug
05
2017
Estimating the Downside - August 2017
Login
For full access, please enter your credentials.
Not a Subscriber?
If you are interested in subscribing to The Leuthold Group, contact us online or give us a call at 612-332-1567.
Contact UsAbout The Author
current issue
featured articles
recent tags
Bank Lending
(1)
Wealth Effect
(9)
Resession
(1)
Dollar
(55)
Inflation
(584)
Time Cycles
(6)
Oil
(48)
Breakeven Rate
(1)
Value
(130)
Treasuries
(79)
Long T-Bonds
(24)
Active vs. Passive
(17)
Yield Curve
(85)
Economy
(282)
Federal Spending
(2)
Stock Market Performance
(1)
Federal Debt/Deficit
(194)
Fed Policy
(173)
Federal Outlays
(1)
Stimulus
(4)