The mid-October market bounce extended through November. The S&P 500’s monthly gain (+5.4%) stretched both of our downside-to-median estimates by congruent amounts. Since September 30th, downside for our “New Era” (1995-to-date) weighted average widened from -5% to -17%.
Dec
06
2022
Estimating the Downside - Decemeber 2022
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