The mid-October market bounce extended through November. The S&P 500’s monthly gain (+5.4%) stretched both of our downside-to-median estimates by congruent amounts. Since September 30th, downside for our “New Era” (1995-to-date) weighted average widened from -5% to -17%.
Dec
06
2022
Estimating the Downside - Decemeber 2022
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![Phil Segner / Sr. Research Analyst & Co-Portfolio Manager](https://leuthold.imgix.net/leutholdgroup.com/site_files/authors/DSC_3189_LR_Phil.jpg?h=150&w=150&fit=crop&fp-y=.15)