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Aug 06 2024
Estimating the Downside

Estimating the Downside - August 2024

  • Aug 6, 2024

A second push on July 31st propelled the S&P 500 to another positive month (+1%). Now, if the S&P 500 fell to the 25th percentile (1957-date), it would lose 50%. Using the history since 1995, the downside is 35%.

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About The Author

Phil Segner / Sr. Research Analyst & Co-Portfolio Manager

Phil Segner Sr. Research Analyst & Co-Portfolio Manager

Phil contributes to Leuthold research publications and is the author of the Green Book's At Random.

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