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Jun 07 2024

Monetary Trumps Fiscal

  • Jun 7, 2024

The 10-Yr./3-Mo. Treasury spread and the Near-Term Forward Spread both inverted in November 2022. Unless the peak of the current economic expansion is back-dated to March (very unlikely), the lag time between the inversion and any near-term recession will be the longest ever for a successful inversion signal.


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About The Author

Doug Ramsey / Chief Investment Officer & Portfolio Manager