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Oct 05 2024

The LEI: Historically Out Of Sync

  • Oct 5, 2024

Admittedly, for much of this year, we’ve been wrong in our view that the U.S. economic path was pre-recessionary. We’re in good company: In 2024 the LEI Index has produced the worst three quarters in its 65-year history. Historically, there has been a solid relationship between the LEI and subsequent growth in real GDP; this year’s misses are peculiar.

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About The Author

Doug Ramsey / Chief Investment Officer & Portfolio Manager