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Prediction

Jan 10 2019

Ancient Forecasting Diagram Predicts Grim 2019

  • Jan 10, 2019

Published 60 years ago in a newspaper gossip column, this diagram forecasted a major market high in 1972 and a panic low in 1982.

Jan 08 2019

Is The “Star” Aligned For 2019?

  • Jan 8, 2019

For those who remain skeptical that more stock market troubles lay ahead, we’ve supplemented the MTI and our other market tools with something truly authoritative: Evidence from a gossip column in a 1958 issue The Minneapolis Star!

Jan 08 2014

The 2014 Outlook: More Volatility, But Ultimately An Up Year

  • Jan 8, 2014

Gains will likely be modest, and secondary stocks could finish the year flat-to-down. The year will likely be marred by a moderate to severe mid-year correction, and Small Caps could easily suffer a 20% hit during that swoon.

Feb 05 2012

Predictions for 2012…

  • Feb 5, 2012

From the stock market to politics to football, Doug Ramsey offers up ten predictions and thoughts for the New Year…. Even though we’ve already had a one month “peek” at 2012.

 

Jan 05 2011

2011 In 2019?

  • Jan 5, 2011

Year-ahead stock market forecasts are now in hot demand, but of course are notoriously off the mark most years. Very long term forecasts (say, out to the end of the decade) are in virtually no demand, but are considerably easier to get close to the mark for those armed with the right tools. 

 

Jan 05 2008

2008: Less Than Great

  • Jan 5, 2008

Yes, it is thermal pollution time again. It’s the new year when prognosticators and investment pundits produce large volumes of hot air, probably contributing to global warming.

Jan 03 2007

View From The North Country

  • Jan 3, 2007

Steve Leuthold highlights his 2007 Outlook in this month’s “View From The North Country”.

Feb 05 2005

Is January Performance Predictive?

  • Feb 5, 2005

A look at the January barometer, indicates there is not much evidence that a weak January market portends weak performance in the remainder of the year.

Jan 05 2005

A Look In The Rearview Mirror...The Best And Worst Of Our Research In 2004

  • Jan 5, 2005

This annual exercise is a critical examination of our research effort for the year...presenting both the things we did well and also those things we didn’t do so well.

Jan 05 2004

View From The North Country

  • Jan 5, 2004

I cannot recall another time when professional stock market opinion was so universally bullish regarding the coming year.

Dec 03 2003

View From The North Country

  • Dec 3, 2003

What’s in store for 2004? See “View From The North Country” for Steve Leuthold’s predictions. Targeting mid year stock market peak of 1250 for S&P 500 and 2400 for NASDAQ. Also makes prognostications on Interest Rates, Inflation, the Dollar, Fed Budget Deficit, and more.

Jan 05 2003

The Year That Was

  • Jan 5, 2003

Remain bullish on the stock market, but don’t expect Main Street to be a major stock market factor in 2003. Today’s bull market expectations for the DJIA, S&P, and NASDAQ.

Dec 04 2002

View From The North Country

  • Dec 4, 2002

Thermal pollution time again. Leuthold’s New Year predictions for 2003.

Jan 04 2002

View From The North Country

  • Jan 4, 2002

Leuthold’s New Year Predictions for 2002 and a review of last year’s predictions.

Jan 04 2001

View From The North Country

  • Jan 4, 2001

Thermal pollution time again: Steve’s New Year predictions for the economy and his market outlook, including a look back at last year’s forecasts.

Feb 05 2000

View From The North Country

  • Feb 5, 2000

View is just for the fun of it this month: Fearless Forecasts 2000.

Jan 07 2000

View From The North Country

  • Jan 7, 2000

Thermal pollution time again: Steve’s 2000 predictions for the economy and his market outlook, including a look back at last year’s forecasts.

Jul 05 1999

Active Managers Beat Index Funds!

  • Jul 5, 1999

Just as many plan sponsors throw in the towel, active managers pull a great quarter out of their collective hat. What's in store for the second half of 1999?

Jan 04 1999

View From The North Country

  • Jan 4, 1999

Thermal pollution time again: Steve’s 1999 predictions for the economy and his market outlook, including a look back at last year’s forecasts.

Feb 04 1998

View From The North Country

  • Feb 4, 1998

Each February, this publication, sometimes with help from our readers, constructs a series of "Fearless Forecasts".

Feb 04 1995

Fearless Forecasts...1995

  • Feb 4, 1995

Each February, this publication, with help from our readers, constructs a series of "Fearless Forecasts".

Jan 04 1995

View From The North Country

  • Jan 4, 1995

It is thermal pollution time. Read Leuthold’s 1995 forecasts for the stock and bond markets, earnings, interest rates, the economy, inflation, gold, the deficit, the dollar...and the Super Bowl.

 

May 05 1994

Investor Attitudes: Polling the Pros in April

  • May 5, 1994

Leuthold "Polling the Pros" reveals that the consensus looks for a correction on a three month basis. One year poll has more balanced outlook.

Mar 05 1994

Investor Attitudes: Polling the Pros in February

  • Mar 5, 1994

Whenever we have a significant number of investment professionals gathered together, we ask their stock market opinion via ballot, subsequently reporting the results in this publication.

Jan 05 1994

View From the North Country

  • Jan 5, 1994

1994 Predictions: Stock market ultimately down, interest rates up, economy quite strong, inflation ticks up, budget deficit down, the dollar mixed, and an AFL team will win the Super Bowl.

Oct 05 1993

Investor Attitudes: Polling The Pros At FIM East

  • Oct 5, 1993

In September, a poll was taken at the FIM East Conference luncheon where Steve was speaking. This is the first poll The Leuthold Group has taken since June.

Feb 05 1993

Fearless Forecasts...1993

  • Feb 5, 1993

Each year, along about this time, this publication (with help from our readers) makes a series of "Fearless Forecasts".

Feb 05 1993

Investor Attitudes: Polling The Pros (And Cons)

  • Feb 5, 1993

In early 1991, a continuing survey of client stock market attitudes was initiated (41 polls have been taken to date).

Jun 05 1992

Polling the Pros: Strange Divergences

  • Jun 5, 1992

In May, polls were taken among our clients in New York and at the Market Technicians Association’s Annual Seminar in Naples, Florida. The results were quite different.

Apr 01 1991

Polling the Pros

  • Apr 1, 1991

Recognizing the obvious client interest in the market views of other professionals, we are initiating “Polling the Pros”. Whenever we have a significant number of investment professionals gathered together, we will ask their stock market opinion via a ballot. So now when you ask us what Leuthold clients think of the market we will no longer have to wing it.

Jan 07 1991

Questions And Answers

  • Jan 7, 1991

This publication often employs a question and answer format, providing answers to the questions being asked most frequently by institutional clients.

Mar 07 1990

View From The North Country

  • Mar 7, 1990

Back On The Road.....

We are seeing clients In six cities during March. Scott Archer, Chuck Zender and myself will be In Denver, Portland and Seattle on March 13th, 14th, and 15th, visiting clients and hosting Leuthold Group luncheons.

Jan 07 1990

View From The North Country

  • Jan 7, 1990

This issue includes some New Year's traditions. First, our economic and market outlook for the New Year.

Jan 07 1989

View From The North Country

  • Jan 7, 1989

Another New Year has arrived.

Feb 07 1988

Fearless Forecasts....1988

  • Feb 7, 1988

Each year, along about February, this publication makes a series of "Fearless Forecasts". Readers should not confuse these forecasts with the more traditional economic and market predictions that appeared in last month's issue. Still, in the past, the "Fearless Forecasts" have, at times, been closer to the mark than the conventional predictions.

Jan 07 1988

The 1988 Outlook

  • Jan 7, 1988

  In this business, it is often best to conveniently forget what was said in the past.

Jan 07 1987

View From The North Country

  • Jan 7, 1987

HAPPY NEW YEAR

Another New Year has arrived. Again tradition must be honored. Black-eyed peas have been consumed. The  Big Ten representative has once again been trounced in the Rose Bowl. The champagne of New Year's Eve has again been driven from the body by the Bloody Marys of New Year's Day. Red Wolfe and friends again blew the roof off the Leuthold joint at the world's longest New Year's Day Brunch (twelve hours long this year, up from ten hours a year ago).

Jan 07 1986

View From The North Country

  • Jan 7, 1986

Another New Year has arrived. Again tradition must be honored. Blacked-eyed peas have been consumed.

Jan 07 1985

View from the North Country

  • Jan 7, 1985

It is 1985 prediction time. Wall Street Is filled with hot air. We add to this thermal pollution with our own predictions for the 1985 economy, earnings, inflation, deficits, Interest rates, value of the dollar and the stock market.

Jan 06 1984

View from the North Country

  • Jan 6, 1984

It’s now 1984 and thermal pollution time – our annual economic and market outlook. Actually, this (unlike our New Year’s Day Brunch) is a relatively harmless tradition. It is only harmful should investors take it as seriously as do some of the prognosticators.