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Feb 07 2025

Lying Economic Indicators?

  • Feb 7, 2025

The Index of Leading Economic Indicators has been out of sync for 2½ years. That dates back to the initial recession warning triggered in June 2022, a signal now deemed a failure. On an annual basis, the LEI has now logged two of its worst all-time forecasting misses in back-to-back years.

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About The Author

Doug Ramsey / Chief Investment Officer & Portfolio Manager