Research.LeutholdGroup

The Dow Jones Transports lagged the market badly again in May, and continues to stand tallest among the red flags we’re now monitoring.

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While our disciplines continue to turn up enough bullish evidence to keep us cautiously positive toward stocks, we are seeing troubling signs by cyclicals (especially the Transports) and junk bonds.

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With our equity exposure high and our disciplines still tilting bullish, we’re naturally more concerned with what might go wrong than missing out on some kind of 2013 repeat.

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