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Jul 08 2025
Macro Monitor

Recession Dashboard Update—Lower Recession Risk

  • Jul 8, 2025

On the whole, the probability of an imminent recession has declined since our last update in April and now stands below 50%. Only two signals changed in this update, the most significant being the S&P 500, which improved from yellow to green.

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Recession Dashboard

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About The Author

Chun Wang / Sr. Research Analyst & Co-Portfolio Manager

Chun Wang Sr. Research Analyst & Co-Portfolio Manager

Chun is a Senior Analyst and Co-Portfolio Manager for the Leuthold Core Investment Fund, Leuthold Global Fund, Leuthold Global Industries Fund, and Leuthold Select Industries Fund.

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