Seasonal
How Long Can Small Caps Lead?
The Russell 2000 is about five points ahead of Large Caps YTD, and is approaching its April 2011 long-term relative peak. We view this outperformance as their leadership’s last gasp and not a new cycle.
A “Textbook” Start To 2011
All time honored seasonal anomalies are indicating stocks can go higher in 2011. The good news is our Major Trend Index agrees, and has actually been getting stronger the last few weeks.
Bulls May Have Christmas...
Bulls may indeed have Christmas, but fundamentals for bearish case in 2008 are extensive.
Will November Be "A Month of Cold Chilling Rains"?
I think November might be a rather dreary month for the U.S. stock market, even if we don’t get those cold chilling rains.
Is October "The Cruelest Month"?
October carries a reputation with investors as the “cruelest month”, but statistically, September is most likely to be a downer. Paid To Play Portfolio: Now up an unbelievable 57% YTD. Tech Sunset? Professionals seem to be lightening their load in technology and communication commitments, now targeting a market weight.
November Mutual Fund Flows
U. S. focus equity fund inflows are estimated to have risen to $20 billion in November. Also, we highlight a few of the more significant seasonal effects and point out things to look out for in the coming weeks.
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