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Apr 07 2026
Estimating the Downside

Estimating The Downside For The S&P 500

  • Apr 7, 2026

The index had its worst month since the tariff tantrum one year ago. Yet, a sharp rally on the last trading day took some of the sting out of the March loss; downside estimates narrowed by a similar amount.

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About The Author

Phil Segner / Sr. Research Analyst & Co-Portfolio Manager

Phil Segner Sr. Research Analyst & Co-Portfolio Manager

Phil is a Co-Portfolio Manager and Sr. Research Analyst at The Leuthold Group, LLC. He is a member of the asset allocation and investment committees and is a major contributor to the firm's research publications.

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