The yield curve is back in the spotlight, as the yield spread between the 10-yr. Treasury and 2-yr. Note finally flipped positive on September 4th, after a record 26 months of inversion. While some economists claim this steepening implies a recession is now imminent, the historical record of such “un-inversions” is a mixed bag—in some cases the recession was still eight months- to over one-year away.
Sep
09
2024