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Mar 05 2022
Macro Monitor

Yield Curve Crossing The 50-Bps Rubicon—No Imminent Trouble

  • Mar 5, 2022

The U.S. 10/2-year curve just fell below the key threshold of 50 bps. Over the last 25 years, the yield curve proceeded to invert after this “Rubicon” was crossed. That doesn’t mean imminent trouble. The lead time of a yield-curve signal is lengthy, but it—and real yields—definitely warrant close monitoring.

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Yield Curve

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About The Author

Chun Wang / Sr. Research Analyst & Co-Portfolio Manager

Chun Wang Sr. Research Analyst & Co-Portfolio Manager

Chun is a Senior Analyst and Co-Portfolio Manager for the Leuthold Core Investment Fund, Leuthold Global Fund, Leuthold Global Industries Fund, and Leuthold Select Industries Fund.

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