Unlike the five prior cycle peaks, this year’s inflation peak materialized during an ongoing economic expansion. That implies the “post-peak” monetary policy has never been tighter than today—making a soft landing even more improbable.
Dec
07
2022
Goodbye Inflation, Hello Recession?
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Peak Inflation CPI Inflation Cycle Fed Funds M2 Growth Treasury Yield Curve Inflation Leading Economic Indicators RecessionLogin
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