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Mar 07 2023
Stock Market

The Yield Curve Meets Microsoft Excel

  • Mar 7, 2023

To our surprise, the measure that most closely correlated with real-GDP growth on a one-year time horizon is the rarely mentioned Treasury spread for the 5-Yr./3-Mo.

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Treasury Yield Curve 5-Year Treasury 3-Month Treasury Real GDP Economy Forecast Correlations Real GDP Growth

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About The Author

Doug Ramsey / Chief Investment Officer & Portfolio Manager

Doug Ramsey Chief Investment Officer & Portfolio Manager

Doug is the Chief Investment Officer of The Leuthold Group, LLC, and Co-Portfolio Manager of the Leuthold Core Investment Fund and the Leuthold Global Fund.

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