We scrutinized the typical path of money growth during the four-year presidential election cycle, and found that it typically tends to bottom out in October of the midterm year! The cycle says a monetary pivot is imminent, and the average pattern traced out by M2 suggests an acceleration in the growth rate of about 2.5% leading up to the presidential election.
Oct
07
2022
Past Pivots Prompted By Politics
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Fed Policy Interest Rates Presidential Election Cycle Mid-Term Elections M2 Growth M2 Money Supply Fed FundsLogin
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