Top decile valuations are often the result of unduly positive investor sentiment that leads to inflated multiples. Bullishness comes in varying strengths: optimism, enthusiasm, exuberance, and, at the extreme, the mania of crowds. Because bullishness manifests itself in aggressive valuations for speculative companies, we believe the prices being applied to such companies - for which intrinsic value is dependent on a future that looks significantly different than today - are an excellent measure of investor sentiment. In that spirit, we examined past cycles of extreme valuations with the goal of understanding how they relate to investor sentiment and what they might tell us about market conditions and relative returns.
Mar
17
2021
Valuation Extremes: Here Be Dragons
tags
Valuations Intrinsic Value Price-to-Sales Price/Sales Discounted Cash Flow Relative Returns Unprofitable Companies Cyclical Indicators Vision Stocks Cycles Growth Vs. ValueLogin
For full access, please enter your credentials.
Not a Subscriber?
If you are interested in subscribing to The Leuthold Group, contact us online or give us a call at 612-332-1567.
Contact UsAbout The Author
current issue
featured articles
recent tags
Gold
(84)
Dollar
(56)
Easing
(1)
CPI
(171)
Market Rotation
(2)
Election
(10)
Inflation
(585)
Recession
(69)
Value
(131)
Growth
(119)
Factor Performance
(18)
Japan
(48)
Yen
(7)
Wealth Effect
(9)
Bank Lending
(1)
Resession
(1)
Time Cycles
(6)
Breakeven Rate
(1)
Oil
(48)
Treasuries
(79)