Frequently, there’s money to be made in the stock market in the months following the initial curve inversion. After the inversions of August 2006 and June 2019, the S&P 500 rallied another 23% and 19%, respectively, into its final bull market high. If this cycle plays out in textbook fashion, the business-cycle peak would arrive in September.
Jan
07
2023
The Yield Curve And The Problem Of Timing
tags
Yield Curve Treasury Yield Curve Inversion Recession Probability Cycle Peak ISM New Orders Index Housing S&P 500 Price Action Consumer Expectations Leading Economic Indicators Employment Growth CPILogin
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