Frequently, there’s money to be made in the stock market in the months following the initial curve inversion. After the inversions of August 2006 and June 2019, the S&P 500 rallied another 23% and 19%, respectively, into its final bull market high. If this cycle plays out in textbook fashion, the business-cycle peak would arrive in September.
Jan
07
2023
The Yield Curve And The Problem Of Timing
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Yield Curve Treasury Yield Curve Inversion Recession Probability Cycle Peak ISM New Orders Index Housing S&P 500 Price Action Consumer Expectations Leading Economic Indicators Employment Growth CPILogin
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