Developments over the last four months leave us even more skeptical that the November yield-curve inversion will join 1966 as a “false positive.” The number one reason being the subsequent shift in the yield curve itself.
Jun
07
2023
Revisiting The 1966 Forecast Failure
tags
Yield Curve Inversion Treasury Yield Curve Recession Indicators 10-Year Treasurys 3-Month Treasury Spreads M2 Money Supply ISM New Orders Index Leading Economic IndicatorsLogin
For full access, please enter your credentials.
Not a Subscriber?
If you are interested in subscribing to The Leuthold Group, contact us online or give us a call at 612-332-1567.
Contact UsAbout The Author
current issue
featured articles
recent tags
Japan
(47)
Factor Performance
(17)
Wealth Effect
(9)
Bank Lending
(1)
Dollar
(55)
Inflation
(584)
Resession
(1)
Time Cycles
(6)
Breakeven Rate
(1)
Oil
(48)
Value
(130)
Treasuries
(79)
Long T-Bonds
(24)
Active vs. Passive
(17)
Yield Curve
(85)
Economy
(282)
Federal Spending
(2)
Stock Market Performance
(1)
Fed Policy
(173)
Federal Debt/Deficit
(194)