Developments over the last four months leave us even more skeptical that the November yield-curve inversion will join 1966 as a “false positive.” The number one reason being the subsequent shift in the yield curve itself.
Jun
07
2023
Revisiting The 1966 Forecast Failure
tags
Yield Curve Inversion Treasury Yield Curve Recession Indicators 10-Year Treasurys 3-Month Treasury Spreads M2 Money Supply ISM New Orders Index Leading Economic IndicatorsLogin
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